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快讯:China poised for strong recovery in 2023, says Morgan Stanley economist

Xinhua   2023-01-18 19:08:30

ChetanAhya,chiefAsiaeconomistatMorganStanley,saidthatasoundrecoveryoftheworld"ssecond-largesteconomycouldprovideatimelyboosttotheglobaleconomy.

NEWYORK,Jan.17(Xinhua)--China"seconomyisexpectedtodeliverastrongrecoveryin2023,buoyedbythecountry"soptimizedepidemicresponseandeffectivepro-growthpolicies,aneconomistatMorganStanleyhassaid.

Mobilityindicatorsacrossthecountry,suchasintracitytrafficandsubwayridership,"havealreadyreboundedmeaningfullyinearly2023,"ChetanAhya,chiefAsiaeconomistatMorganStanley,toldXinhuarecentlyviaemail.

"Wethinkthiswillhelpsupportahigherlevelofeconomicactivityfromanearlierstartingpoint,supportingGDPgrowththroughouttheyear,"hesaid.


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Inaresearchnotereleasedlastweek,MorganStanleyraiseditsoutlookforChina"sGDPgrowthin2023from5.4percentto5.7percent,predictingthatareboundinactivitywillcomeearlierandbesharperthanexpected.

TherapidreboundinmobilityandthealignmentofCOVID-19management,economicandregulatorypolicytopromotegrowtharetwomajorreasonsfortheupwardrevisionoftheforecast,saidAhya.

HesaidthatChinahaspledgedtosynergizeitsfiscalandmonetarypolicieswithitsCOVID-19responseshifttofacilitategrowthrecovery,addingthat"regulatorypolicyhasalsoturnedmoreconducivetoanchoringmarketexpectations."

Moreover,theannualCentralEconomicWorkConferenceaffirmedcommensuratesupportforbothstate-ownedandprivateenterprises,continuedtheMorganStanleyeconomist.

"Thisbackdropshouldsupportbothastrongerpolicypass-throughandprivatesectorconfidence,allowingastronggrowthrecoverytotakeholdin2023,"Ahyanoted.

Hesaidthatacomebackinprivateconsumption,especiallyservicesconsumption,willbeacrucialdriverforgrowth.

TheeconomistexpectedChina"srealhouseholdconsumptiongrowthtobeliftedto8.5percentin2023andanimprovementininvestment,includingthepropertysector,withpolicysupport.

Ahyaalsosaidthatasoundrecoveryoftheworld"ssecond-largesteconomycouldprovideatimelyboosttotheglobaleconomy.

"China"scounter-trendrecoveryshouldprovideanuplifttoaggregatedemandaroundtheworld,withthestrongestpositivespillovereffectstotherestofAsiaandEurope,"saidAhya.

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